IDX hits the 5% circuit breaker and halts; LQ45 names overreact, then recover.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Mar 18, 2025: IHSG -5.02% triggered a trading halt; the MSCI freeze of Jan 27, 2026 did the same on an 8% intraday drop. Event studies on LQ45 show the overreaction mostly recovers.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 50% | BBRI |
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 50% | SRAJ |
| Day 2 | Policy shock | 80% | Market-wide |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.