Several names cut guidance; value investors probe the discount.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Quarterly pattern: guidance cut season rotates money into unaffected sectors and triggers value-style buying of temporarily-depressed blue chips.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 5 | Earnings miss | 50% | UNVR |
| Day 5 | Earnings miss | 50% | ICBP |
| Day 5 | Earnings miss | 40% | ICBP |
| Day 5 | Earnings miss | 40% | BYAN |
| Day 12 | Earnings miss | 50% | ADRO |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.