US tariff escalation hits export exposure; emerging-market risk-off, gold safe haven.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Apr 2, 2025 'liberation day': IHSG fell 8% through the 90-day pause window while regional peers did worse; investors rotated to gold as a safe haven; IHSG ended H1 2025 -17% vs peers.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 40% | AMMN |
| Day 2 | Policy shock | 80% | Market-wide |
| Day 2 | Sector rally | 50% | MDKA |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.