Brent jumps; coal and gas names bid, fuel-importing economy takes the hit.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Commodity cycle: ADRO/PTBA earnings track coal prices; an oil spike squeezes importers and consumer names, and is a headwind for the rupiah.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 40% | UNTR |
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 40% | BYAN |
| Day 2 | Sector rally | 70% | ADRO |
| Day 2 | Sector rally | 70% | AADI |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.