Global risk-off sends gold to new highs; miners reprice sharply upward.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
2024-25: gold bull run (above $2,600/oz) lifted gold-related emitters as a safe-haven rotation during tariff and MSCI stress.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 90% | MDKA |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 50% | INCO |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 50% | BRMS |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.