Political cycle optimism; infrastructure and banks lead the bid.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
2024 election pattern: new administration + 8% growth target bids infrastructure (JSMR, TLKM) and banks; LQ45 event studies around the 2024 election show positive abnormal returns.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 3 | Earnings beat | 40% | BBNI |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 60% | ASII |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 50% | TLKM |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 40% | BBCA |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.