Mass demonstrations over policy; short political-uncertainty dip.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Aug 29, 2025: DPR demonstrations on allowances; IHSG -2.27% the session. Political-uncertainty dips in EMs typically run 5-10% when they touch policy credibility, less for procedural noise.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 2 | Policy shock | 40% | Market-wide |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.