New tax system rollout slips state revenue; mid-year fiscal shock to the index.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Mid-March 2025: IHSG sold off after Jan-Feb state revenue came in below target, driven by the rushed Coretax reporting system ahead of the administration's quick-win commitments.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 2 | Earnings miss | 40% | BREN |
| Day 2 | Policy shock | 60% | Market-wide |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.