MonarqiLabs / Scenarios / Banking Blue-Chip Rally
Scenario

Banking Blue-Chip Rally

Foreign flows rotate back into the big four banks; the index's main driver.

5 shocks120 trading daysseed 42200 IDX tickers

The real event behind it

Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.

Real anchor

2024: BBRI EPS growth 78% YoY; banks dominate IDX liquidity. BBRI/BCA/BBNI/BMRI/BRI drive a large share of IDX volume.

The shock schedule

What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.

DayShockSeverityTarget
Day 3Earnings beat40%BBCA
Day 3Sector rally60%BBCA
Day 3Sector rally60%BBRI
Day 3Sector rally50%BBNI
Day 3Sector rally50%BMRI

Run it yourself

The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.

More scenarios

23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.