Bank Indonesia cuts BI-Rate 25bps; cheaper funding lifts bank margins and the index.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
Aug 19, 2025: BI-Rate cut to 5.00%. Event studies on 41 banks found no significant abnormal return — the cut was fully anticipated. 2025 saw 4 cuts in total; rate-sensitive sectors (banks, property, telco) lagged while liquidity stayed thin.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 3 | Rate cut | 50% | Market-wide |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 30% | BBCA |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 30% | BBRI |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 50% | DCII |
| Day 3 | Sector rally | 40% | TLKM |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.