Large-cap Indonesian names get deleted from MSCI Standard; forced ETF selling.
Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
The May 2026 MSCI review removed six Indonesian companies including Amman Mineral and Barito Renewables; passive funds with no discretion sold, IHSG -3.5% over the week to 6,723.
What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.
| Day | Shock | Severity | Target |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 4 | Passive outflow | 100% | AMMN |
| Day 4 | Passive outflow | 90% | BRMS |
| Day 4 | Passive outflow | 60% | ICBP |
| Day 4 | Passive outflow | 50% | SRAJ |
The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.
23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.