MonarqiLabs / Scenarios / Property Sector Recovery
Scenario

Property Sector Recovery

Rate cuts + cheap financing revive property developers.

4 shocks120 trading daysseed 42200 IDX tickers

The real event behind it

Every scenario is anchored to something that actually happened on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.

Real anchor

2025: property was the poster child of 'rate-sensitive but lagging' — 4 BI cuts through 2025, yet liquidity (M2) stayed thin and the 4 big prop names (BSDE, CTRA, SMRA, PWON) underperformed.

The shock schedule

What the scenario injects, and when. Day numbers are trading days from the start of the run.

DayShockSeverityTarget
Day 3Rate cut40%Market-wide
Day 3Sector rally70%DCII
Day 3Sector rally50%MPRO
Day 3Sector rally50%PANI

Run it yourself

The desk replays this scenario in the browser, with no account and no install. It ships the counterfactual baseline alongside the shock, so you can see what the event changed rather than only what happened.

More scenarios

23 scenarios in the library, each anchored to a real IDX event or recurring pattern.